The Advanced Forecasting course has been designed to complement and follow on from the Basic Instruction Package in Meteorology (BIP-M) after two to three years experience in an operational forecasting environment. It can also be used to complete basic forecaster training which has been taken elsewhere.
To equip a forecaster with the necessary skills to operate at an advanced level within their organisation.
After completing this course you will be able to:
- analyse the atmosphere through vorticity, ageostrophic motion and PV concepts to predict development at the surface;
- relate advanced synoptic models of cyclogenesis and convection to practical forecasting situations;
- produce forecasts in the absence of central guidance;
- apply ensemble forecasting methods to short and medium-range forecasting;
- describe the limitations of the forecasts that you produce and assess the appropriate level of confidence to communicate within those forecasts;
- evaluate the impacts of any issued forecast on the customer, especially in severe weather situations;
- plan and organise the production and prioritisation within an operational team;
- explain the drivers of climatic variability and relate these to monthly to decadal forecasting timescales.